THE BASEMENT VIEW

PUBLIC LEDGER - updated 2026-04-30 08:00 UTC

The complete public ledger of every football bet placed by the system. Live positions, every fixture, every stake, every result. No cherry-picking. No edits. Updated automatically after each settlement.

Last 8 days

P/L
+£69.25
+6.93% · from £1,000 start
Profit factor
1.33x
£279 won · £210 lost
Peak
£1,074.99
+7.5% from start
Open positions
5
£141.45 at risk

Bankroll

Equity walk from £1,000 through every settled bet of the past 8 days. Dashed line marks the start.

Open positions

Posted before kickoff. Stake and price are exactly what was filled.
KickoffFixtureMarket · SelectionStatusPriceStakePotential return
29 Apr 19:00 UTCAtletico Madrid vs Arsenal
UEFA Champions League
Match Odds - ArsenalFinished2.64£15.15£40.00
29 Apr 19:00 UTCAtletico Madrid vs Arsenal
UEFA Champions League
Over/Under 2.5 Goals - UnderFinished1.95£38.70£75.47
30 Apr 19:00 UTCShakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace
UEFA Conference League
Match Odds - Home WinKicks off in 10h59m3.75£20.95£78.56
30 Apr 19:00 UTCSC Braga vs SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa League
Match Odds - Home WinKicks off in 10h59m2.38£24.35£57.95
30 Apr 19:00 UTCRayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg
UEFA Conference League
Over/Under 2.5 Goals - UnderKicks off in 10h59m1.83£42.30£77.41
5 active · 0 in play · 2 awaiting settle · 3 upcoming£141.45£329.39

By market

Settled 8-day breakdown by Betfair market type.
MarketBetsRecordP/LROI
Over/Under 2.5 Goals118-3+£98.56-
Match Odds165-11+£2.33-
Both teams to Score?62-4-£31.64-

Highlights

Pulled from the 8-day window. Facts only.
Peak
£1,074.99
+7.5% from start · 26 Apr
Biggest single win
+£42.78
Le Havre vs Metz · Match Odds · 26 Apr
Best bet return
+315%
Le Havre vs Metz · Match Odds @ 4.21
Highest winning odds
4.21
Le Havre vs Metz · Match Odds · 26 Apr
Best day
+£63.82
26 Apr
Days in profit
4 of 7
57% of trading days finished green
Average winning odds
2.33
across 10 stake-tracked winners
Longest winning run
3 bets
in window

Recent bets

Most recent first. Every settled bet, in full.

What this is

An evidence-based probabilistic football model with a public track record. Stakes are sized with discipline; we do not chase, we do not double up, we do not place bets without a measurable edge. On a typical day the system will post between zero and a small handful of bets - by design, not by accident. Whether the numbers above are good enough to deserve your attention is your call.

Disclaimer. This page is a public record of one person's betting account, not gambling advice. Football betting is high-variance and most participants lose money over the long run. Bets are placed on Betfair Exchange at decimal back prices with the standard 2 percent commission on net winnings. Stakes, fills, and results are taken directly from the account; nothing on this page is hand-edited. The starting bank shown is an assumed reference point for the windowed view.

@thebasementview - not advice - 18+