THE BASEMENT VIEW

PUBLIC LEDGER - updated 2026-05-03 08:26 UTC

The complete public ledger of every football bet placed by the system. Live positions, every fixture, every stake, every result. No cherry-picking. No edits. Updated automatically after each settlement.

Last 8 days

P/L
+£208.62
+20.86% · from £1,000 start
Profit factor
1.89x
£443 won · £234 lost
Peak
£1,226.80
+22.7% from start
Open positions
5
£82.75 at risk

Bankroll

Equity walk from £1,000 through every settled bet of the past 8 days. Dashed line marks the start.

Open positions

Posted before kickoff. Stake and price are exactly what was filled.
KickoffFixtureMarket · SelectionStatusPriceStakePotential return
3 May 11:00 UTCHibernian vs Celtic
Scottish Premiership
Match Odds - HibernianKicks off in 2h33m5.20£10.30£53.56
3 May 13:00 UTCSassuolo vs Milan
Serie A
Match Odds - SassuoloKicks off in 4h33m5.10£11.20£57.12
3 May 14:15 UTCGetafe vs Vallecano
La Liga
Over/Under 2.5 Goals - Under 2.5 GoalsKicks off in 5h48m1.53£29.55£45.21
3 May 18:45 UTCInter vs Parma
Serie A
Over/Under 2.5 Goals - Under 2.5 GoalsKicks off in 10h18m2.78£19.25£53.51
3 May 18:45 UTCLyon vs Rennes
Ligue 1
Over/Under 2.5 Goals - Under 2.5 GoalsKicks off in 10h18m2.56£12.45£31.87
5 active · 0 in play · 0 awaiting settle · 5 upcoming£82.75£241.27

By market

Settled 8-day breakdown by Betfair market type.
MarketBetsRecordP/LROI
Over/Under 2.5 Goals139-4+£190.08+66.5%
Match Odds157-7-1+£48.61+17.7%
Both teams to Score?41-3-£30.07-32.9%

Highlights

Pulled from the 8-day window. Facts only.
Peak
£1,226.80
+22.7% from start · 3 May
Biggest single win
+£42.78
Le Havre vs Metz · Match Odds · 26 Apr
Best bet return
+315%
Le Havre vs Metz · Match Odds @ 4.21
Highest winning odds
4.21
Le Havre vs Metz · Match Odds · 26 Apr
Best day
+£85.28
3 May
Days in profit
4 of 6
67% of trading days finished green
Average winning odds
2.26
across 17 stake-tracked winners
Longest winning run
7 bets
in window

Recent bets

Most recent first. Every settled bet, in full.

What this is

An evidence-based probabilistic football model with a public track record. Stakes are sized with discipline; we do not chase, we do not double up, we do not place bets without a measurable edge. On a typical day the system will post between zero and a small handful of bets - by design, not by accident. Whether the numbers above are good enough to deserve your attention is your call.

Disclaimer. This page is a public record of one person's betting account, not gambling advice. Football betting is high-variance and most participants lose money over the long run. Bets are placed on Betfair Exchange at decimal back prices with the standard 2 percent commission on net winnings. Stakes, fills, and results are taken directly from the account; nothing on this page is hand-edited. The starting bank shown is an assumed reference point for the windowed view.

@thebasementview - not advice - 18+